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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense 0–2 Vitoria | 1.20–0.92 | 42% · 29% · 28% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 2.97–1.14 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 74% |
| Botafogo 2–1 Corinthians | 2.30–1.98 | 46% · 20% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Palmeiras 5–0 Criciuma | 1.71–0.62 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 Gremio | 1.92–0.96 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 60% |
| Juventude 2–1 Fluminense | 0.57–0.69 | 26% · 41% · 33% | Close call, Juventude won |
| Cruzeiro 0–1 Sao Paulo | 0.58–1.07 | 20% · 33% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Bahia 3–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.54–0.54 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Flamengo 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 2.02–0.99 | 61% · 21% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 61% |
| Internacional 3–0 Cuiaba | 3.33–0.34 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.