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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 27.0 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba 2–1 Criciuma | 1.10–0.51 | 50% · 33% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Botafogo 2–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.96–0.38 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Gremio 2–3 Atlético Mineiro | 2.11–2.80 | 29% · 18% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.75–1.38 | 46% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Corinthians 2–1 Flamengo | 1.53–1.26 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Vitoria 0–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.36–0.38 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Fluminense 2–0 Sao Paulo | 0.46–0.83 | 19% · 39% · 42% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| RB Bragantino 2–1 Bahia | 0.86–0.88 | 33% · 34% · 34% | Close call, RB Bragantino won |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–2 Palmeiras | 0.90–2.82 | 9% · 14% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Juventude 1–3 Internacional | 0.68–3.07 | 5% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.