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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 20.3 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense 2–1 Juventude | 1.78–0.57 | 67% · 22% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
| Palmeiras 5–0 Cuiaba | 2.45–0.68 | 76% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense | 0.52–0.69 | 24% · 42% · 35% | Close call, Fluminense won |
| Bahia 0–0 Botafogo | 0.93–0.72 | 39% · 34% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Corinthians | 0.95–0.64 | 41% · 35% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Criciuma 0–1 Gremio | 0.89–1.22 | 27% · 29% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria | 0.66–1.25 | 20% · 30% · 51% | Won against the xG: Sao Paulo |
| Internacional 1–0 Cruzeiro | 2.58–0.12 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Flamengo 2–1 RB Bragantino | 1.26–1.06 | 41% · 28% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 Athletico Paranaense | 0.65–0.68 | 29% · 39% · 31% | Close call, Vasco da Gama won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.