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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras 2–1 Atlético Mineiro | 2.61–0.29 | 87% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Botafogo 0–0 Gremio | 1.02–0.79 | 40% · 32% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventude 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.29–1.11 | 41% · 28% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sao Paulo 3–1 Corinthians | 2.70–0.70 | 79% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Cuiaba | 0.75–0.05 | 51% · 47% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fluminense | 1.43–1.50 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
| Internacional 3–1 Vitoria | 2.32–0.66 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Cruzeiro 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 0.87–1.18 | 27% · 30% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 1–0 Criciuma | 2.23–0.14 | 86% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Flamengo 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 0.70–0.42 | 38% · 43% · 19% | Close call, Flamengo won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.