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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.7 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma 2–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.35–0.39 | 61% · 28% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Fluminense 1–0 Cruzeiro | 1.55–1.50 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Gremio 3–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.69–0.32 | 72% · 22% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–2 Vitoria | 1.00–0.96 | 35% · 31% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Bragantino 0–0 Palmeiras | 0.84–1.41 | 22% · 27% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Palmeiras had 50% |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–1 Botafogo | 2.00–1.23 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| Bahia 0–2 Flamengo | 1.03–2.65 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Corinthians 2–2 Internacional | 1.96–0.63 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 69% |
| Cuiaba 2–0 Sao Paulo | 0.82–0.58 | 38% · 38% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Vasco da Gama 1–1 Juventude | 1.24–1.55 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.