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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo 3–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.29–1.04 | 42% · 28% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Fortaleza EC 1–1 Atlético Mineiro | 0.71–1.37 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Atlético Mineiro had 53% |
| Flamengo 0–2 Fluminense | 1.38–2.10 | 25% · 21% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Corinthians 5–2 Athletico Paranaense | 1.90–1.46 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Cuiaba | 1.12–0.67 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo 1–1 Criciuma | 2.63–0.28 | 87% · 10% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 87% |
| Cruzeiro 1–1 Bahia | 1.11–1.20 | 34% · 28% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Internacional 1–0 Gremio | 1.84–0.52 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Vitoria 1–0 RB Bragantino | 1.29–0.62 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Juventude 3–5 Palmeiras | 2.28–2.65 | 34% · 18% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.