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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.4 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo 0–0 Sport Recife | 2.23–0.30 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 82% |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 Mirassol | 1.15–1.75 | 25% · 24% · 51% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Gremio 2–1 Atlético Mineiro | 0.83–2.28 | 12% · 18% · 70% | Won against the xG: Gremio |
| Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense | 0.90–0.81 | 36% · 34% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Juventude 2–0 Vitoria | 0.77–0.49 | 39% · 40% · 21% | Close call, Juventude won |
| Flamengo 1–1 Internacional | 1.70–0.24 | 74% · 21% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 74% |
| Palmeiras 0–0 Botafogo | 1.37–0.90 | 48% · 28% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 Santos | 1.41–1.85 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Bahia 1–1 Corinthians | 1.39–0.79 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 51% |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceara | 1.42–0.84 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.