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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians 3–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.41–0.58 | 57% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Ceara 2–0 Gremio | 1.42–0.81 | 51% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Botafogo 2–0 Juventude | 1.51–0.50 | 62% · 26% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Fluminense 2–1 RB Bragantino | 2.17–0.65 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo | 1.45–0.35 | 65% · 26% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Atlético Mineiro had 65% |
| Mirassol 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 2.19–0.86 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Mirassol had 68% |
| Internacional 3–0 Cruzeiro | 2.43–0.26 | 86% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Vitoria 1–2 Flamengo | 0.25–1.43 | 6% · 26% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Sport Recife 1–2 Palmeiras | 0.48–1.88 | 9% · 20% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Santos 2–2 Bahia | 1.32–1.98 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.