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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.8 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia 2–1 Sao Paulo | 2.34–1.86 | 49% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Vasco da Gama 0–2 RB Bragantino | 1.86–0.52 | 70% · 21% · 10% | Won against the xG: RB Bragantino |
| Mirassol 1–0 Sport Recife | 1.06–0.60 | 46% · 33% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Santos 0–1 Botafogo | 1.03–0.49 | 48% · 34% · 17% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| Juventude 0–2 Gremio | 0.74–2.65 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Flamengo 5–0 Fortaleza EC | 2.43–0.38 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Corinthians 0–0 Vitoria | 1.07–0.39 | 53% · 34% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 53% |
| Ceara 0–1 Atlético Mineiro | 0.75–0.47 | 38% · 41% · 21% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 Palmeiras | 1.24–0.68 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Internacional 0–2 Fluminense | 0.61–0.62 | 29% · 41% · 30% | Close call, Fluminense won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.