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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 24.6 xG (1.38 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 0–3 Bahia | 0.37–2.16 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Vitoria 0–0 Cruzeiro | 0.63–0.65 | 29% · 40% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 2–3 Santos | 2.90–0.80 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Won against the xG: Santos |
| Gremio 1–1 Corinthians | 1.35–0.70 | 52% · 28% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Gremio had 52% |
| Sao Paulo 1–3 Vasco da Gama | 0.38–1.81 | 7% · 20% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–0 Internacional | 0.88–0.50 | 43% · 38% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Botafogo 3–3 Mirassol | 2.17–1.55 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 52% |
| Palmeiras 4–1 Juventude | 1.74–0.46 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Fluminense 1–0 Ceara | 1.03–0.18 | 58% · 36% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Sport Recife 1–5 Flamengo | 0.41–3.90 | 1% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.