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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.7 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 2–0 Sao Paulo | 1.30–0.25 | 64% · 29% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Internacional 1–0 Vitoria | 1.90–0.88 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Vasco da Gama 0–2 Botafogo | 0.53–3.17 | 3% · 9% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Bahia 2–1 Atlético Mineiro | 0.67–0.35 | 38% · 45% · 17% | Close call, Bahia won |
| Corinthians 1–2 RB Bragantino | 2.34–1.78 | 51% · 20% · 30% | Won against the xG: RB Bragantino |
| Cruzeiro 4–1 Gremio | 2.62–0.76 | 77% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Fortaleza EC 0–1 Ceara | 0.74–2.20 | 11% · 18% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Juventude 2–0 Sport Recife | 0.25–1.31 | 7% · 28% · 65% | Won against the xG: Juventude |
| Mirassol 2–1 Fluminense | 1.23–0.88 | 44% · 29% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Santos 1–0 Palmeiras | 1.10–1.48 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Won against the xG: Santos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.