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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.9 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras 1–1 Mirassol | 0.73–0.89 | 28% · 35% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ceara 0–1 Corinthians | 0.73–0.90 | 28% · 35% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Santos 1–0 Flamengo | 1.21–0.67 | 49% · 30% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Botafogo 0–0 Vitoria | 1.72–0.13 | 78% · 19% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 78% |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo | 0.82–1.39 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 50% |
| Fluminense 0–2 Cruzeiro | 1.42–0.84 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Gremio 2–1 Fortaleza EC | 2.45–1.67 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Juventude 2–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.26–0.55 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Atlético Mineiro 3–1 Sport Recife | 1.78–2.33 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 1–0 Internacional | 1.95–0.46 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.