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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.2 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC 1–1 Bahia | 1.94–2.73 | 27% · 18% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 55% |
| Vasco da Gama 1–1 Gremio | 1.90–0.94 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Vasco da Gama had 60% |
| Mirassol 3–0 Santos | 1.79–0.48 | 69% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Corinthians | 2.13–1.59 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Internacional 1–0 Ceara | 1.53–0.83 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Cruzeiro 4–0 Juventude | 2.75–0.34 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Vitoria 1–0 RB Bragantino | 0.29–1.32 | 8% · 28% · 64% | Won against the xG: Vitoria |
| Palmeiras 3–2 Atlético Mineiro | 2.17–0.33 | 80% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Sport Recife 0–1 Botafogo | 1.05–0.91 | 38% · 31% · 31% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense | 0.97–0.26 | 53% · 37% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.