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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.6 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras | 1.78–1.62 | 42% · 23% · 35% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Ceara 0–2 Mirassol | 0.86–0.53 | 41% · 38% · 21% | Won against the xG: Mirassol |
| Corinthians 0–0 Cruzeiro | 0.33–0.97 | 12% · 37% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 51% |
| Santos 1–2 Internacional | 2.15–2.50 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| RB Bragantino 1–2 Flamengo | 0.99–0.75 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Close call, Flamengo won |
| Vitoria 2–2 Sport Recife | 2.88–1.95 | 57% · 17% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Vitoria had 57% |
| Juventude 0–1 Sao Paulo | 0.30–1.00 | 11% · 36% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Vasco da Gama 3–1 Bahia | 1.82–0.75 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Gremio 1–1 Botafogo | 1.82–1.18 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Gremio had 52% |
| Atlético Mineiro 3–3 Fortaleza EC | 1.29–2.14 | 23% · 21% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.