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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.1 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 1–1 Corinthians | 0.64–1.06 | 22% · 33% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mirassol 1–1 Vitoria | 1.80–1.65 | 42% · 22% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 3–1 RB Bragantino | 1.98–0.89 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Sport Recife 2–2 Santos | 2.08–1.06 | 61% · 21% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Sport Recife had 61% |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio | 0.55–0.91 | 21% · 36% · 42% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Sao Paulo 3–1 Fluminense | 2.36–0.30 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Cruzeiro 1–2 Ceara | 1.35–0.69 | 53% · 28% · 19% | Won against the xG: Ceara |
| Internacional 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.39–1.03 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 3–0 Juventude | 2.24–0.17 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Flamengo 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.83–1.12 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.