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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.9 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sport Recife | 0.87–0.66 | 38% · 36% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Cruzeiro | 1.08–1.45 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Juventude 1–1 Internacional | 0.53–1.15 | 17% · 32% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 51% |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Mirassol | 1.18–1.12 | 37% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Gremio 3–1 Vitoria | 1.64–1.05 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Fluminense 2–0 Botafogo | 0.95–0.76 | 38% · 34% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Bahia 1–0 Palmeiras | 0.63–0.58 | 31% · 42% · 28% | Close call, Bahia won |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 Santos | 0.73–1.39 | 20% · 28% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 53% |
| Corinthians 1–2 Flamengo | 2.04–0.64 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
| Sao Paulo 0–1 Ceara | 0.79–0.71 | 34% · 37% · 29% | Close call, Ceara won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.