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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.0 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria 0–1 Fluminense | 1.22–0.70 | 49% · 30% · 21% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| Botafogo 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.74–0.64 | 34% · 39% · 28% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Ceara 1–1 Bahia | 2.15–1.21 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Ceara had 59% |
| Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC | 2.30–1.08 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Mirassol 2–0 Juventude | 1.43–0.53 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Flamengo 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 2.54–0.52 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 81% |
| Internacional 2–3 Gremio | 4.41–0.62 | 94% · 4% · 2% | Won against the xG: Gremio |
| Sport Recife 1–0 Corinthians | 1.05–0.66 | 44% · 33% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
| Santos 1–0 Sao Paulo | 1.68–0.28 | 73% · 22% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 RB Bragantino | 0.57–0.68 | 26% · 41% · 33% | Close call, Cruzeiro won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.