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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio 0–1 Mirassol | 1.17–1.92 | 23% · 22% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Fortaleza EC 2–0 Vitoria | 0.96–0.58 | 43% · 35% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Palmeiras 4–1 Internacional | 2.51–0.24 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Fluminense 0–1 Corinthians | 0.78–0.05 | 52% · 45% · 2% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| RB Bragantino 1–1 Sport Recife | 3.04–1.52 | 68% · 15% · 17% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 68% |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Santos | 1.31–1.28 | 37% · 26% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventude 0–2 Flamengo | 0.24–1.25 | 7% · 30% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 Botafogo | 1.32–0.59 | 55% · 29% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Vasco da Gama 2–2 Ceara | 0.92–1.46 | 24% · 27% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro | 0.53–0.78 | 23% · 39% · 38% | Close call, Cruzeiro won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.