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Serie A 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 22

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Matches

Matchday 22 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.2 xG (1.17 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Ceara 0–1 Juventude0.73–0.4039% · 42% · 18%Won against the xG: Juventude
Botafogo 4–1 RB Bragantino1.73–0.2874% · 21% · 5%Win in line with xG for Botafogo
Cruzeiro 1–0 Sao Paulo0.87–1.1128% · 31% · 41%Close call, Cruzeiro won
Flamengo 1–1 Gremio1.60–0.9353% · 25% · 22%Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 53%
Santos 0–0 Fluminense0.61–0.2239% · 50% · 11%Draw in line with xG
Corinthians 1–1 Palmeiras0.37–2.145% · 16% · 79%Draw against the xG: Palmeiras had 79%
Mirassol 5–1 Bahia2.97–0.6284% · 11% · 5%Win in line with xG for Mirassol
Vitoria 1–0 Atlético Mineiro0.85–0.6538% · 36% · 26%Win in line with xG for Vitoria
Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC2.52–0.5081% · 13% · 5%Win in line with xG for Internacional
Sport Recife 2–3 Vasco da Gama1.53–1.6236% · 24% · 40%Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 21 · Matchday 23

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