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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 23.4 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo 0–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.72–0.89 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 57% |
| Fluminense 2–1 Sport Recife | 1.92–1.07 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Corinthians 4–2 Internacional | 4.42–1.04 | 90% · 6% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Ceara 1–0 Vitoria | 1.17–0.92 | 42% · 30% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Bahia 1–0 Botafogo | 1.46–1.30 | 41% · 25% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Palmeiras | 0.69–1.13 | 22% · 32% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Gremio 1–0 Santos | 0.62–0.47 | 33% · 44% · 23% | Close call, Gremio won |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo | 1.21–0.22 | 63% · 31% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Mirassol | 0.70–0.51 | 35% · 41% · 23% | Close call, RB Bragantino won |
| Juventude 0–1 Atlético Mineiro | 0.66–1.28 | 19% · 29% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.