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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.2 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional 3–1 Juventude | 1.28–0.27 | 63% · 29% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Mirassol 2–2 Atlético Mineiro | 1.73–1.73 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ceara 1–1 Sao Paulo | 0.54–0.79 | 23% · 39% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sport Recife 0–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.47–0.68 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Sport Recife had 56% |
| Botafogo 2–0 Fluminense | 0.89–0.26 | 50% · 39% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Flamengo 4–0 Corinthians | 2.12–0.21 | 83% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Palmeiras 0–1 Bahia | 1.45–0.56 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Cruzeiro 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.01–0.81 | 39% · 32% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Vitoria 1–1 Gremio | 1.31–1.56 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Santos 1–2 RB Bragantino | 1.09–1.43 | 29% · 26% · 45% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.