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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.7 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians 2–1 Sport Recife | 2.17–0.39 | 79% · 16% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Vasco da Gama 0–0 Flamengo | 0.44–1.74 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 69% |
| Gremio 1–1 Internacional | 1.47–2.16 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 53% |
| Juventude 2–2 Mirassol | 1.24–2.23 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Mirassol had 60% |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Santos | 1.57–1.45 | 41% · 24% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo | 0.94–0.31 | 50% · 38% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Fluminense 1–1 Vitoria | 1.15–0.60 | 49% · 32% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 1–2 Palmeiras | 1.20–1.00 | 41% · 29% · 31% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Cruzeiro | 1.00–0.77 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Bahia 1–0 Ceara | 1.69–1.17 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.