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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.9 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara 2–1 Vasco da Gama | 2.14–1.14 | 60% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Botafogo 2–2 Sao Paulo | 1.08–0.99 | 37% · 30% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mirassol 4–1 Gremio | 1.49–1.01 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Sport Recife 0–1 RB Bragantino | 0.72–1.39 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Corinthians 0–2 Fluminense | 0.82–1.20 | 25% · 30% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Internacional 0–1 Palmeiras | 1.02–0.86 | 38% · 32% · 30% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Flamengo 6–0 Juventude | 3.19–0.16 | 94% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Santos 2–0 Atlético Mineiro | 2.27–0.81 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Vitoria 2–1 Fortaleza EC | 0.92–1.02 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Cruzeiro 3–0 Bahia | 2.35–0.27 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.