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5 of 10 matches with xG: 6 goals from 10.8 xG (0.55 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani Campinas 0–0 Ceara | 0.81–0.34 | 44% · 41% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vila Nova 0–1 Sport Recife | 1.53–0.42 | 65% · 25% · 10% | Won against the xG: Sport Recife |
| Vitoria 2–0 ABC | 0.88–0.90 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Juventude 1–0 Novorizontino | 1.68–0.90 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Londrina 1–1 Chapecoense | 1.70–1.69 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.