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3 of 10 matches with xG: 3 goals from 7.2 xG (0.42 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense 0–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.62–0.63 | 61% · 24% · 14% | Won against the xG: Atletico Goianiense |
| Guarani Campinas 0–1 Juventude | 1.19–0.78 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Won against the xG: Juventude |
| Vitoria 1–0 Ceara | 1.82–1.18 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.