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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos 1–1 Sport Recife | 1.14–1.20 | 34% · 28% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo SP 2–0 Coritiba | 1.39–0.63 | 55% · 28% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Brusque 0–0 America Mineiro | 1.68–0.79 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Brusque had 59% |
| Amazonas 1–0 Ituano | 1.85–0.03 | 83% · 16% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Amazonas |
| Ponte Preta 1–0 Avai | 1.41–0.78 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Ponte Preta |
| Novorizontino 2–1 Goias | 0.76–0.42 | 40% · 41% · 19% | Close call, Novorizontino won |
| Operario-PR 2–0 CRB | 0.79–0.18 | 49% · 43% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Operario-PR |
| Chapecoense 0–1 Mirassol | 2.24–0.43 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Won against the xG: Mirassol |
| Vila Nova 2–2 Paysandu | 1.80–1.09 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Vila Nova had 54% |
| Ceara 3–1 Guarani Campinas | 0.63–1.11 | 21% · 32% · 47% | Won against the xG: Ceara |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.