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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu 0–3 Santos | 0.65–1.79 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Mirassol 2–0 Brusque | 1.38–0.22 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| America Mineiro 3–1 Botafogo SP | 1.99–1.53 | 49% · 22% · 30% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Ituano 2–1 Chapecoense | 0.81–0.57 | 38% · 38% · 24% | Close call, Ituano won |
| Sport Recife 3–2 Amazonas | 1.44–2.28 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Won against the xG: Sport Recife |
| Avai 1–0 Operario-PR | 1.25–0.54 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| Coritiba 1–1 Ponte Preta | 1.38–1.61 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| CRB 0–1 Novorizontino | 0.33–0.42 | 20% · 54% · 26% | Close call, Novorizontino won |
| Guarani Campinas 2–0 Vila Nova | 2.47–0.35 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Guarani Campinas |
| Goias 2–1 Ceara | 2.96–0.94 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.