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3 of 10 matches with xG: 3 goals from 6.5 xG (0.46 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara 1–0 Novorizontino | 1.56–0.36 | 68% · 24% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Brusque 1–0 Sport Recife | 0.79–1.43 | 21% · 27% · 52% | Won against the xG: Brusque |
| Coritiba 1–0 Avai | 1.03–1.33 | 29% · 28% · 44% | Close call, Coritiba won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.