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2 of 10 matches with xG: 4 goals from 4.2 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazonas 1–1 Ceara | 0.85–1.21 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Goias 1–1 Paysandu | 1.56–0.58 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 61% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.