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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 20.9 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife 1–0 Cuiaba | 1.56–0.38 | 67% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Nautico Recife |
| Novorizontino 2–1 Ceara | 0.81–0.41 | 42% · 40% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Fortaleza EC 3–0 Londrina | 2.38–0.28 | 84% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Juventude 0–1 Sport Recife | 0.95–0.52 | 45% · 36% · 20% | Won against the xG: Sport Recife |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–1 São Bernardo | 0.88–1.72 | 19% · 24% · 57% | Win in line with xG for São Bernardo |
| CRB 4–2 Ponte Preta | 1.67–0.60 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| America Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova | 1.64–0.79 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
| Avai 0–2 Goias | 0.52–1.63 | 11% · 24% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Operario-PR 1–1 Criciuma | 1.11–0.63 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo SP 1–2 Athletic Club | 1.37–1.00 | 45% · 27% · 27% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.