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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.0 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude 3–0 America Mineiro | 2.06–0.81 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Goias | 2.09–0.69 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 70% |
| Avai 1–2 Criciuma | 0.55–1.11 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Fortaleza EC | 0.82–1.22 | 25% · 30% · 45% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico Recife | 2.19–1.17 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
| Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova | 0.68–0.82 | 28% · 37% · 36% | Close call, Vila Nova won |
| São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino | 2.05–1.02 | 61% · 21% · 18% | Draw against the xG: São Bernardo had 61% |
| Ceara 1–2 Operario-PR | 1.75–0.60 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Won against the xG: Operario-PR |
| Cuiaba 2–0 CRB | 1.68–0.58 | 64% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Ponte Preta 0–0 Botafogo SP | 0.26–1.87 | 4% · 18% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo SP had 77% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.