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6 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense 3–3 CRB | 2.87–1.85 | 59% · 17% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 59% |
| Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta | 2.93–0.37 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Goias | 1.76–1.29 | 48% · 23% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cuiaba 1–0 Vila Nova | 2.04–0.60 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Botafogo SP 2–1 Operario-PR | 1.03–1.13 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Close call, Botafogo SP won |
| Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife | 1.75–1.28 | 48% · 23% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.