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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.10–2.25 | 17% · 19% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 63% |
| Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club | 1.61–0.65 | 61% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Londrina |
| Ceara 0–1 Botafogo SP | 0.63–1.16 | 20% · 31% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico Recife | 1.54–2.22 | 27% · 20% · 53% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
| Avai 1–0 Cuiaba | 0.52–0.69 | 24% · 42% · 35% | Close call, Avai won |
| CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.11–2.06 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 59% |
| São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude | 0.85–0.60 | 39% · 37% · 24% | Close call, Juventude won |
| Goias 0–3 Operario-PR | 1.10–0.79 | 43% · 31% · 26% | Won against the xG: Operario-PR |
| Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino | 0.20–1.52 | 5% · 24% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma | 0.83–1.08 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.