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9 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude 1–0 Vila Nova | 0.42–0.59 | 21% · 46% · 33% | Close call, Juventude won |
| Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo SP | 2.81–1.39 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Sport Recife had 67% |
| Operario-PR 2–1 Novorizontino | 0.51–2.22 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Won against the xG: Operario-PR |
| Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife | 2.14–1.01 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| São Bernardo 2–2 Cuiaba | 0.74–0.25 | 44% · 44% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fortaleza EC | 0.49–1.49 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Won against the xG: Atletico Goianiense |
| CRB 2–2 Goias | 1.86–0.90 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: CRB had 60% |
| America Mineiro 1–1 Londrina | 2.10–1.75 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ceara 0–0 Athletic Club | 0.99–0.80 | 39% · 33% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.