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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.5 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRB 2–1 Nautico Recife | 2.64–0.32 | 87% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| America Mineiro 1–1 Ceara | 1.20–0.64 | 50% · 31% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventude 2–0 Cuiaba | 0.91–1.09 | 30% · 31% · 39% | Close call, Juventude won |
| São Bernardo 1–1 Avai | 0.96–0.13 | 57% · 38% · 5% | Draw against the xG: São Bernardo had 57% |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Novorizontino | 1.26–0.98 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Londrina 0–0 Botafogo SP | 0.92–0.32 | 49% · 38% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Criciuma 2–0 Vila Nova | 0.36–0.55 | 19% · 49% · 32% | Close call, Criciuma won |
| Ponte Preta 1–2 Goias | 2.01–1.03 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Won against the xG: Goias |
| Sport Recife 2–2 Operario-PR | 2.77–2.33 | 49% · 18% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Athletic Club | 1.81–0.29 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.