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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 22.1 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude 0–0 Novorizontino | 0.52–0.23 | 34% · 53% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 0–0 Cuiaba | 0.45–0.06 | 35% · 62% · 4% | Draw in line with xG |
| America Mineiro 1–2 Botafogo SP | 1.03–1.27 | 30% · 28% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–2 Nautico Recife | 1.37–0.75 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Won against the xG: Nautico Recife |
| Londrina 2–2 Goias | 1.60–1.89 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sport Recife 1–1 Vila Nova | 0.66–1.51 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Vila Nova had 58% |
| Ponte Preta 1–1 Ceara | 1.44–2.03 | 27% · 21% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Ceara had 51% |
| CRB 0–1 Avai | 1.59–0.71 | 59% · 25% · 17% | Won against the xG: Avai |
| Criciuma 1–1 Athletic Club | 2.77–0.49 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Criciuma had 85% |
| São Bernardo 1–2 Operario-PR | 0.78–0.92 | 29% · 34% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Operario-PR |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.