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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 27.4 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC 2–1 Juventude | 1.73–1.05 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Cuiaba 0–2 Ceara | 2.23–1.48 | 55% · 20% · 25% | Won against the xG: Ceara |
| Nautico Recife 1–0 Ponte Preta | 2.40–0.60 | 77% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Nautico Recife |
| Vila Nova 2–1 Atletico Goianiense | 2.20–1.41 | 55% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Londrina 1–2 Sport Recife | 0.85–2.23 | 13% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
| Avai 0–0 Operario-PR | 1.83–0.17 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Avai had 79% |
| Novorizontino 1–1 CRB | 1.25–1.47 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletic Club 1–1 America Mineiro | 0.85–0.96 | 31% · 33% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo SP 1–2 São Bernardo | 1.25–1.38 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for São Bernardo |
| Goias 1–0 Criciuma | 1.32–0.74 | 50% · 29% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.