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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 25.3 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma 1–0 Botafogo SP | 1.63–0.65 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Juventude 2–0 Goias | 0.55–0.32 | 33% · 50% · 17% | Close call, Juventude won |
| Ponte Preta 0–1 Vila Nova | 1.83–0.80 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
| Sport Recife 2–2 Avai | 3.24–1.79 | 66% · 15% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Sport Recife had 66% |
| Ceara 1–0 Nautico Recife | 1.56–0.80 | 55% · 25% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| America Mineiro 0–3 Novorizontino | 0.24–1.93 | 4% · 17% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Operario-PR 0–0 Cuiaba | 1.01–0.41 | 50% · 35% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| São Bernardo 0–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.07–1.46 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| CRB 2–3 Athletic Club | 1.19–1.85 | 24% · 23% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Atletico Goianiense 2–1 Londrina | 2.73–0.28 | 88% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.