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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro 0–0 Sport Recife | 1.17–0.31 | 58% · 32% · 10% | Draw against the xG: America Mineiro had 58% |
| Nautico Recife 0–3 São Bernardo | 1.87–1.33 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Won against the xG: São Bernardo |
| Vila Nova 2–1 Operario-PR | 1.27–1.01 | 42% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Avai 1–2 Ponte Preta | 0.65–2.33 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Ponte Preta |
| CRB 0–1 Juventude | 1.16–1.31 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Botafogo SP 1–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.22–1.22 | 36% · 27% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Londrina 0–0 Ceara | 0.98–0.76 | 39% · 33% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Goias 0–2 Cuiaba | 0.23–1.44 | 6% · 26% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Fortaleza EC 3–2 Criciuma | 0.59–0.93 | 22% · 36% · 42% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Novorizontino 2–1 Athletic Club | 2.06–0.69 | 69% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.