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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.5 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma 0–0 Nautico Recife | 1.55–0.70 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Criciuma had 58% |
| São Bernardo 3–4 Ceara | 1.45–0.96 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Won against the xG: Ceara |
| America Mineiro 1–0 Goias | 0.13–2.26 | 1% · 12% · 86% | Won against the xG: America Mineiro |
| Londrina 1–4 Novorizontino | 1.88–0.85 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Won against the xG: Novorizontino |
| Atletico Goianiense 3–1 Operario-PR | 1.45–1.56 | 35% · 24% · 40% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
| CRB 2–0 Vila Nova | 1.65–0.36 | 70% · 23% · 8% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| Sport Recife 1–1 Cuiaba | 0.65–0.63 | 30% · 40% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventude 1–0 Avai | 0.94–0.29 | 51% · 38% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Ponte Preta 1–1 Athletic Club | 0.86–1.76 | 18% · 23% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 59% |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Botafogo SP | 2.24–0.35 | 81% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.