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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.9 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR 1–3 São Bernardo | 1.52–1.67 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Win in line with xG for São Bernardo |
| Ceara 2–0 Ponte Preta | 2.08–0.97 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Vila Nova 0–1 Sport Recife | 0.56–0.26 | 35% · 51% · 14% | Won against the xG: Sport Recife |
| Botafogo SP 2–1 America Mineiro | 1.16–0.69 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Athletic Club 2–0 Criciuma | 0.70–1.57 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Nautico Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.36–1.22 | 40% · 26% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Novorizontino 0–1 Juventude | 0.93–0.53 | 44% · 36% · 20% | Won against the xG: Juventude |
| Cuiaba 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.44–0.97 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Goias 1–0 Londrina | 1.50–0.63 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Avai 0–1 CRB | 1.33–0.83 | 48% · 28% · 23% | Won against the xG: CRB |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.