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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.7 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta 1–1 Nautico Recife | 1.15–2.08 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Nautico Recife had 59% |
| São Bernardo 0–1 Botafogo SP | 0.78–1.64 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Sport Recife 2–1 Londrina | 1.03–0.75 | 41% · 33% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–2 Vila Nova | 0.82–0.30 | 46% · 41% · 13% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
| Ceara 1–3 Cuiaba | 0.33–2.25 | 4% · 14% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Criciuma 1–0 Goias | 1.06–0.70 | 44% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Juventude 0–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.57–0.28 | 70% · 23% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Juventude had 70% |
| Operario-PR 1–2 Avai | 0.83–1.59 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| America Mineiro 1–3 Athletic Club | 1.90–1.39 | 49% · 22% · 28% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| CRB 0–0 Novorizontino | 0.94–0.32 | 50% · 38% · 12% | Draw against the xG: CRB had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.