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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 28.1 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina 0–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.84–1.38 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nautico Recife 1–0 Ceara | 2.57–1.67 | 57% · 18% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Nautico Recife |
| Goias 0–1 Juventude | 0.62–1.01 | 22% · 34% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Avai 2–1 Sport Recife | 1.51–0.48 | 63% · 26% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| Fortaleza EC 1–1 São Bernardo | 2.11–0.93 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 64% |
| Cuiaba 1–0 Operario-PR | 0.58–1.03 | 20% · 34% · 46% | Won against the xG: Cuiaba |
| Vila Nova 6–0 Ponte Preta | 3.74–0.31 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Botafogo SP 1–1 Criciuma | 1.12–0.30 | 57% · 33% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo SP had 57% |
| Athletic Club 0–2 CRB | 0.87–2.18 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| Novorizontino 3–0 America Mineiro | 3.60–0.30 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.