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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.4 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goias 2–1 São Bernardo | 1.10–1.11 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Close call, Goias won |
| Nautico Recife 2–1 Athletic Club | 1.26–0.65 | 51% · 30% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Nautico Recife |
| Novorizontino 2–1 Sport Recife | 1.46–0.92 | 50% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Botafogo SP 1–2 Cuiaba | 0.60–0.76 | 26% · 39% · 35% | Close call, Cuiaba won |
| America Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta | 3.05–0.53 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Avai 0–1 Atletico Goianiense | 0.76–0.61 | 35% · 39% · 26% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
| CRB 2–1 Criciuma | 1.30–2.43 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Won against the xG: CRB |
| Vila Nova 2–0 Ceara | 1.82–0.39 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Fortaleza EC 1–1 Operario-PR | 2.70–0.85 | 76% · 14% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 76% |
| Londrina 0–0 Juventude | 0.31–0.80 | 13% · 42% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.