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8 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba 3–0 Athletic Club | 1.74–0.35 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Botafogo SP 1–3 Novorizontino | 0.68–1.54 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Avai | 0.78–0.99 | 28% · 33% · 39% | Close call, Fortaleza EC won |
| America Mineiro 2–1 Nautico Recife | 2.83–1.67 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Operario-PR 3–0 CRB | 0.77–0.80 | 31% · 36% · 33% | Close call, Operario-PR won |
| São Bernardo 1–2 Londrina | 0.90–2.16 | 14% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Londrina |
| Vila Nova 2–0 Goias | 1.16–0.50 | 52% · 32% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Sport Recife 2–0 Ponte Preta | 3.55–0.62 | 89% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.