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8 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 18.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova 1–0 America Mineiro | 1.36–1.71 | 31% · 24% · 46% | Close call, Vila Nova won |
| Ceara 2–1 Novorizontino | 0.71–2.09 | 11% · 19% · 69% | Won against the xG: Ceara |
| Sport Recife 2–1 Juventude | 0.73–0.96 | 27% · 34% · 40% | Close call, Sport Recife won |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Botafogo SP | 1.19–0.61 | 50% · 31% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 50% |
| Ponte Preta 1–0 CRB | 1.22–1.58 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Won against the xG: Ponte Preta |
| Goias 2–1 Avai | 2.34–0.68 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Londrina 1–2 Fortaleza EC | 1.02–0.50 | 48% · 35% · 18% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Criciuma 0–2 Operario-PR | 1.34–0.35 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Won against the xG: Operario-PR |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.