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3 of 8 matches with xG: 6 goals from 8.7 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Krumovgrad 1–0 Botev Vratsa | 0.19–0.55 | 10% · 53% · 37% | Won against the xG: Levski Krumovgrad |
| CSKA 1948 1–0 Botev Plovdiv | 1.98–0.30 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Ludogorets 4–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5.39–0.31 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.