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4 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 9.7 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa 3–5 Botev Plovdiv | 2.54–1.14 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Won against the xG: Botev Plovdiv |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 CSKA Sofia | 0.31–2.27 | 4% · 14% · 82% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Levski Sofia 1–0 Cherno More Varna | 0.90–0.20 | 52% · 40% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Ludogorets | 0.71–1.59 | 17% · 25% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Ludogorets had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.