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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali 0–2 Botev Plovdiv | 1.36–1.08 | 43% · 27% · 30% | Close call, Botev Plovdiv won |
| Slavia Sofia 1–1 CSKA Sofia | 1.51–0.97 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hebar 1918 1–3 CSKA 1948 | 1.04–0.81 | 40% · 32% · 28% | Close call, CSKA 1948 won |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–2 Cherno More Varna | 1.55–2.53 | 23% · 18% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
| Levski Sofia 3–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1.52–0.39 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 0.75–2.35 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Lokomotiv Sofia had 73% |
| Ludogorets 5–0 Botev Vratsa | 2.07–0.13 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Levski Krumovgrad 1–0 Beroe | 1.34–1.95 | 26% · 22% · 52% | Won against the xG: Levski Krumovgrad |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.