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7 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 19.7 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 0–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.07–0.44 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Won against the xG: Lokomotiv Sofia |
| Levski Krumovgrad 2–1 Botev Plovdiv | 1.60–2.58 | 23% · 18% · 59% | Won against the xG: Levski Krumovgrad |
| Slavia Sofia 3–0 Beroe | 2.16–0.63 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Sofia |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 Levski Sofia | 0.49–2.22 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–1 CSKA 1948 | 0.99–0.66 | 42% · 34% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1.15–1.79 | 24% · 23% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| CSKA Sofia 3–0 Botev Vratsa | 3.52–0.40 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.